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Tottenham ‘say one thing in private and another in public’ about Daniel Levy’s £2.7bn plot – finance insider

Football has an exit problem. Daniel Levy, who values Tottenham at £3.75bn, is chairman and co-owner of one the few clubs who make a cash profit every year. Yet still, Spurs are struggling to find a buyer.

On paper, Tottenham have lost £288m since they moved into their new stadium in 2019. But there is a saying in football finance that🌳 reveals the truth: revenue is vanity, profit is sanity, but cash is reality.

A club’s ‘profit’ or ‘loss’ is not in fact a measure of how much money is flowing in and out of Daniel Levy business, which has probably the best underlying financial metrics of any Premier League club.

Chart showing Tottenham's profit and loss account in recent season, superimposed over a general view of the stadium
Tottenham profit and loss chart prepared by Adam Williams for TBR Football and GRV Media Photo by Richard Heathcote/Getty Images

Instead, the £288m th꧙ey have ‘lost’ since the mo൲ve away from White Hart Lane includes non-cash items like player transfer amortisation and, most significantly in Spurs’ case, depreciation.

The depreciation charge on the Tottenham Hotspur Stadium is around £70m per year, but that is a useful fiction to write down the cost of the asset over 🌄its lifetime. It♍’s not a cash cost.

This is the reason why the North Londoners have zero issues with Profit and Sustainability Rules (PSR), either under the Pr🌄emier League or UEFA’s formulation.

Infographic explaining the PSR (Profit and Sustainability Rules, formerly known as FFP) for Premier League, Championship and UEFA clubs
PSR infographic. Credit: Adam Williams, GRV Media

Even in a bad year – 💝and 2024-25 under Ange Postecoglou is proving exactly that – Spurs will generate a cash surplus, unlike many of their peers in the Premier League who requ🌃ire equity funding or loans.

Commercially, ENIC’s club goes from strength to strength, even if the same can’t be s☂aid about things on the pit♔ch.

Position Team Played MP Won W Drawn D Lost L For GF Against GA Diff GD Points Pts
11 Crystal PalaceCrystal Palace28 10 9 9 36 33 3 39
12 BrentfordBrentford28 11 5 12 48 44 4 38
13 TottenhamTottenham28 10 4 14 55 41 14 34
14 Man UtdManchester United28 9 7 12 34 40 -6 34
15 EvertonEverton28 7 12 9 31 35 -4 33

Sponsorship, merchan🅠dise, and events are extraordinarily lucrative to Spuꦚrs. They have capitalised on the prestige the new stadium has given them with a best-in-class🎀 commercial🍌 and brand building operation.

Meanwhile, they have shown more control of the wage bill than any other club in 🧸the Premier League, where there has been an arms race in terms of recruitment and retention thanks to s🅰oaring TV cash.

Of course, these aren’t the metrics that matter to fans. The opposite, in fact. But they are, in theory, what should make Tottenham so attractive to investors.

Infographic showing the growth of enterprise value for Manchester United, Liverpool, Manchester City, Tottenham, Arsenal and Chelsea, superimposed over an image of the Premier League logo
Premier League club value infographic prepared by Adam Williams for TBR Football and GRV Media Photo by James Gill/Danehouse/Getty Images

Levy’s valuation of the club is said by some to be slightly high, though most agree it is noౠt wildly over the top, especially when one consi✨ders what Ineos and Clearlake have paid for Man United and Chelsea.

In terms of compound growth, Spurs looks like a better ﷽investment opportunity than almo🙈st any other asset class in business. Enterprise value has increased by an average of 16 per cent annually since 2010.

But things seem to have ground to a halt in terms of ENIC’s search for fresh investment, whether i𓄧n the form of a full or partial takeover.

Diagram showing the ownership structure of Tottenham, including Daniel Levy, the discretionary trust benefitting the family of Joe Lewis, ENIC, and 30,000 other Spurs investors
Diagram showing the ownership structure of Tottenham CREDIT: Adam Williams / GRV Media

Amanda Staveley has been linked with minority investment, while unnamed private investors from Qatar are also said to be interested.

But rather than the beginning of the end that many fans hoped for when Levౠy announced the search for investment in April last year, we many not even be at the end of the beginning.

Despite the lack of trophies, easily the nadir of the ENIC era so far has been the European Super League debacle in 2021, when🧸 only the collective will of fans in N17 and beyond prevented the breakaway plot.

ClubMajor honours since Tottenham last won a trophy
Man CityPremier League (8), FA Cup (2), League Cup (6), UEFA Champions League (1), Super Cup (1), Club World Cup (1)
Man UnitedPremier League (4), FA Cup (2), League Cup (4), UEFA Champions League (1), Club World Cup (1), UEFA Europa League (1)
ChelseaPremier League (3), FA Cup (4), League Cup (1), UEFA Champions League (2), Europa League (2), Super Cup (1), Club World Cup (1)
LiverpoolPremier League (1), FA Cup (1), League Cup (3), UEFA Champions League (1), Super Cup (1), Club World Cup (1)
ArsenalFA Cup (4)
Leicester CityPremier League (1), FA Cup (1)
WiganFA Cup (1)
PortsmouthFA Cup (1)
BirminghamLeague Cup (1)
SwanseaLeague Cup (1)
West HamConference League (1)
NewcastleLeague Cup (1)

If they had pulled it off, the enterprise value of Spurs would have s🅘kyrocketed overnight, with bigger profits and revenue streams guaranteed in a closed-shop, US f༺ranchise sport-style league.

The financial volatility of the Premier League and Europ🃏ean football – where the Champions League can be make or break – makes it less appealing to investors than the NFL, NBA and MLB in the US.

Top sports leagues by revenue - NFL, NBA, MLB, Premier League
Premier League revenue compared to NBA, NFL and MLB Credit: Adam Williams/TBR Football/GRV Media

But now, in the culmination of a process that started almost as soon as the Super League was aborted, the competitꦺion is back.

Could Spurs be tempted, in contrast to their official position? TBR Football spoke exclusively to Liverpool Universitꦑy football finance for his take.

Tottenham secretly in favour of new Super League plot, says finance expert

In December last year, A22 Sports Management, the company backed by Real Madrid pres꧂identꩵ and Daniel Levy crony Florentino Perez, unveiled their plans for Super League 2.0.

This tim🐷e, the proposal is for a wider league system with promotion and relegation from domestic competition and, ostensibly, more equitable financial distribution mechanisms.

Last week, A22 CEO Bernd Reichart said he has spoken to 10 English clubs about the possibility of joining up, with many purportedly keen on the idea given the £2.7bn in prize money they think they canꦬ offer.

Could Tottenham be among them? “Privately, they will be in favour of Super League,” says Maguire, hoღst 📖of the Price of Football podcast.

“They are 13th in the Premier League. Under A22’s proposal, they can offer them almost guaranteed participation in the Star League [the top league of the revised format] each year.

“While it won’t be a closed shop in formal terms, it will effectively be in the sense that the Premier League is a closed shop for all intents and purposes.

Chart showing the squad cost of Liverpool - wages plus amortisation - for 2022-23, the last financial year on record.
Squad costs of Premier League clubs Credit: Adam Williams / GRV Media / TBR Football

“A bad season for Spurs in the Premier League is finishing 12th or 13th and a bad season in the Star League will be similar, but they are unlikely to be relegated from either league.

“That is different from the Champions League, where you can be in it one season and not the next, with a huge swing in revenue as a result.”

Spurs and ENIC can’t afford another PSR disaster

Either late this year or early next, the government will bring an independent football regulatorᩚᩚᩚᩚᩚᩚ⁤⁤⁤⁤ᩚ⁤⁤⁤⁤ᩚ⁤⁤⁤⁤ᩚ𒀱ᩚᩚᩚy into law.

The regulator, which is making its way through ﷽Parliament, is expected to have th🐼e power to block clubs from joining breakaway competitions.

Infographic explaining the powers of the independent football regulator
Independent football regulator infographic. Credit: Adam Williams, GRV Media

“Spurs will say one thing in private and another in public,” says Maguire on the Super League plans in light of the regulator, “but from an optics point of view they can’t be seen to be coming out in favour of this.

“Unless there is a major change in public opinion and the regulator’s position, they can’t be seen to be extolling its virtues, but it would help to de-risk the Champions League issue in terms of revenue volatility.

“It may be that this is simply a ploy to extract more money from UEFA.”

The latest on Daniel Levy’s search for takeover or new investment

While they only went public with the news in April 2024, ENIC and Levy have been looking for freඣsh investment for several years.

Pr﷽eviously, Spurs held talks with Todd Boehly and Jonathan Goldstein before they invested in Chelsea.

The private e♛quity firm MSP Sports Capital and new Everton owner Dan Friedkin were also interested at one point.

NameRank in top 500Net worthClub(s)
Bernard Arnault4$189BParis FC
Mark Mateschitz80$23.4BRed Bull clubs
Stan Kroenke85$22.8BArsenal, Colorado Rapids
Philip Anschutz86$22.8BLos Angeles Galaxy
David Tepper87$22.4BCharlotte FC
Francois Pinault90$22.1BStade Rennais
Dietmar Hopp112$18.4B1899 Hoffenheim
Jim Ratcliffe200$12.4BMan United, Nice, Lausanne
Hansjoerg Wyss218$11.9BChelsea, Strasbourg
Josh Harris224$11.7BCrystal Palace
Simon Reuben227$11.5BNewcastle United
David Reuben228$11.5BNewcastle United
Dmitry Rybolovlev246$11.1BAS Monaco
Mark Walter252$10.9BChelsea, Strasbourg
Dan Friedkin253$10.9BAS Roma, AS Cannes, Everton
Shahid Khan307$9.33BFulham
Nassef Sawiris324$8.95BAston Villa, Vitoria
Daniel Kretinsky402$7.69BWest Ham, Sparta Prague
Joe Lewis405$7.66BTottenham
Todd Boehly426$7.28BChelsea FC, Strasbourg
Richest private owners in football, Sourced from Bloomberg Billionaires Index

While the structure of any potential deal isn’t clear, Paris Saint-Germain owners Qatar Sports Investments have engaged with the club too. Their president, Nasser Al-Khelaifi, is a close ally of Levy.

Amanda Staveley meanwhile, who is said to have raised £500m for her next investment project, confirmed she was in talks༺ with a Premier League cluꩲb following her exit from Newcastle United last summer.

Photo by FRANCK FIFE/AFP via Getty Images
Photo by FRANCK FIFE/AFP via Getty Images

Th𒉰ough she stopped short of naming Spurs – probably because of an NDA – it is clear that the North Londoners are in her sights.

But🌊 with the regulator issues still to shake out, macroeconomic conditions unfavourable, and Levy’s negotiating style to navigate, don’t expect an 𝔍announcement any time soon.

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