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Stan Kroenke has ‘extraordinary vision’ as Arsenal plan to blast £500m on 80,000 Emirates expansion

With profitability a distant aim for most, Premier League clubs are looking to stadium redevelopment projects as the next big revenue panacea – and Arsenal are joining the party.

By the end of next season, it will have been 20 years since the Emirates Stadium was officially opened at a ceremony featuring the late Prince Philip, Duke of Edinburgh and Arsenal royalty then-present and past.

Incidentally, Queen Eliza൲beth II was meant to cut the ribbon but withdrew due to illness.

On that date, 22 July 2006, the Emirates was comfortably the second-largest stadium by capacity in the Premier League, behind only Manchester United’s Old Trafford.

By the 🍸time its two-decade anniv💜ersary arrives, it will be the sixth-biggest.

West Ham, Liverpool and, of course, Nor꧒th London arch-rivals Tottenham 🍰have now surpassed Arsenal. Manchester Citไy will by that time have finalised an expansion that will see cﷺapacity hit 61,000.

♔Man United, who are already the biggest matchday income generato🐼rs in English football by far, could soon be in a different universe financially given Sir Jim Ratcliffe’s plans to build a 100,000-seater ground.

In a few more years, Newcastle United and Chelsea are expected to break the 60,000 barrier, whether through expansions of St James’ Park and Stamford Bridge respect💦ively or entirely new constructions.

Infographic sowing the matchday incomes plus stadium capacities and planned upgrades in the Premier League, featuring Newcastle United, Chelsea, Liverpool, Manchester City, Aston Villa, Leeds United, Tottenham, Arsenal and Everton

In short, what was once a best-in-class stadium is no longer so. Arsenal still generated £103m in matchday income in th🎃e last financial year, but their lead on 🤡the chasing pack is slowly dwindling.

Matchd💮ay income is the lowest of Arsenal’s three main annual revenue streams, with media (£193m) and commercial (£171m) significantly more lucrative as it stands.

However, the big brains in the world of football finance are increasingly looking to matchday income because it is the one area where, if there is sufficꦏient demand, th🅺ey can really steal a match on their rivals.

Update chart showing Arsenal's revenue over the last decade and the breakdown between commercial, media and matchday income

TV rights deals are negotiated centrall𓆉y by the Premier League itself and income is fixed over a four-year rights cycle. The spon🌠sorship market meanwhile is staggeringly c🍌ompetitive.

The ceil🍃ing in terms of m꧙atchday income, on the other hand, is less defined.

B🌊ricks-and-mortar stadium projects are expensive but top-end clubs believe❀ they represent the biggest growth opportunity and the chance to diversify away from media and commercial income.

But why should you, as a fan, care?

Photo by Alex Burstow/Arsenal FC via Getty Images
Photo by Alex Burstow/Arsenal FC via Getty Images

For one, in the age of Profit and Sustainability Rules (PSꦺR, formerly known as FFP), spending on recruitment and retention is i🐷nextricably tied to revenue.

With Arsenal shopping in a market where targets like🥃 Newcastle’s Alexander Isak are valued at £150m, the club’s future competitiveness on th♕e pitch relies on revenue trending u🧸p and to the right on the graph.

More importantly, the stadium is the soul of any football club. Sup𒈔porters have a right to dictate to what extent it is commercialised.

Arsenal are plotting major upgrades to t🍷he Emirates St൩adium and, although the plans are only in their infancy at present, fans will be the ꦜmost effective pressure group in deciding the direction the club takes.

Stan Kroenke’s stadium masterplan

When billionaires s🍬anction massive capital expenditure projects, the aim is almost always to increase the overall value of the bu⭕siness with a view to one day selling it for a huge profit.

That is the case at the other outposts in Arsenal owner Stan Kroenke’s sports empire too.

Sports franchises owned by Stan Kroenke

TeamLeagueLocation
ArsenalPremier LeagueLondon
Los Angeles RamsNFLCalifornia
Denver NuggetsNBAColorado
Colorado AvalancheNHLColorado
Colorado RapidsMLSColorado
Colorado MammothNational Lacrosse LeagueColorado
Los Angeles GladiatorsEsportsCalifornia
Los Angeles GuerrillasEsportsCalifornia

The SoFi Stadium, home of Kroenke’s Los Angeles Rams, is widely recognised as on✤e of the best in the world. The venue has helped make the NFL side the seventh-most valuable sports franchise in the world.

Arsenal got to witness it first-hand when Mikel Arteta’s side played Man United at the SoFi in a friendly in July. It was☂ their second match at the arena having played Barceloಌna there the year before.

Elsewhere in the KSE network, his side MLS side Colorado Rapids play at Dick’s Sporting Goods Park, an 18,000-seater sta🐎dium whඣose construction was funded by Kroenke and opened in 2005.

Kroenke bought the Ball Aren🐭a, formerly known as the Pepsi Center, as part of the deal to acquire the NBA franchise Denver Nuggets and NHL side Colorado Avalanche in 2000.

He has since been involved in numerous redevelopment projects and i🔴nitiatives at the 18,000-seater multipurp♛ose stadium in the intervening years.

Now, as detailed in a new ⛄report in the US, Kroenke has received approval for a massive real estate project on land connected to the stadium encompassing 6,000 residential units.

This, one executive told the , was part of the long-term masterplan Kroenke had in store when he took over the Nuggets and Avalanche franchises 💯over 20 years ago.

Photo by Kevin Sabitus/Getty Images
Photo by Kevin Sabitus/Getty Images

“The Kroenkes have an extraordinary vision [relating] to professional🍰 sports and real estate,” said Mike Neary, KSE’s executive vice president of business operations.

The takeaway? Kroenke exhibited more than two decade’s worth of extraordinary patience for this element of his takeover strategy to pay off – and he ꦉis now doing something similar with Arsenal.

He paid around £1bn in total for 100 per cent control and, as Liverpool University football finance lecturer Kieran Maguire has told TBR Football, will probably spend £500m more on redeveloping the Emirates.

Photo by Oli Scarff/Getty Images
Photo by Oli Scarff/Getty Images

According to most appraisals, Arsenal are valued at around £3bn. With a planned 80,000-seater stadium expansion – which would likely be financed by debt – that would🍃 shoot up 🏅considerably.

Just as has been the case with his investment in Denver Nuggets, Colorado Avalanche ꧒and✨ Ball Arena, his patience will pay off when he eventually comes to sell the Gunners.

What an expanded Emirates Stadium would mean for Mikel Arteta’s transfer budget

On a pro-rata calculation, an extra 20,00🅷0 seats at the Emirates would see Arsenal’s matchday income rise to around £137m.

🍬In actuality, the inevitable increased focus on hospitality – as heralded by the club’s new corporate deal with🍌 JP Morgan – would see that figure rise far higher.

That is before one considers the commercial benefits that would arise as a result of redevelopment, such as the ability to renegotiate the naming rights deal with Emirates, as well as ജother sponsors.

For Mikel Arteta, on the off chance he is still in charge when the long-term project is eventually complete, that wou🐼ld be a game-changer for the recruitment and retention budget.

Photo by Stuart MacFarlane/Arsenal FC via Getty Images
Photo by Stuart MacFarlane/Arsenal FC via Getty Images

Yes, Kroenke will hope that the Emirates Stadium expansion can open a pathway to 🔜more sustained profitability for Arsenal and that will mean not all of the excess would go towards the playing budget.

This has been seen at Spurs, where investment in the playing squad is rising slower tha♒n revenue – but it is rising ✱all the same.

In essence, more money through the turnstiles and corporate൩ hospitality suites will be central to Arsenal’s continued ability to match their rivals in the transfer market.